Scout First-Round Mock Draft UPDATED: 4/9

Glenn Dorsey (Scout.com/Miller Safrit)

With the NFL's focus solely on the NFL Draft at this point in the offseason, the draft forecast is becoming clearer as we progress towards draft day. Scout.com's NFL Draft Analyst Chris Steuber updates his first-round mock draft.

The NFL Draft is about two weeks away, and the forecast is becoming clearer. Pro Days are finally over, and NFL personnel and scouts are holding meetings preparing their draft boards for April 26th. My current mock draft has stayed consistent with the previous version with a few modifications.

In my previous two mock drafts, I projected two different teams trading up into the first round to select Louisville QB Brian Brohm. I still believe a team will entertain the thought of moving up to select Brohm, but I've backed off that prediction in this version.

My current mock draft features 15 underclassmen being selected in the first round. There are 31 picks in the first round this year due to the Patriots forfeiting their own selection in light of the Spygate scandal. My first round mock draft also features 15 defensive players versus 16 offensive players being selected.

If you have any questions about my mock draft, email me by clicking on this link.

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For the UPDATED 2nd Round Mock Draft, CLICK HERE.

Round 1 | Round 2

No.
Team
Pos.
Name
College
Class
Ht.
Wt.

1

DE

Chris Long

Virginia

Sr.

6-3

272

The Dolphins could go many ways with the top selection, and trading the pick is still an option, but in the end Virginia's Chris Long is the safest selection for Miami.

Previous Mock Draft Selection: Same

2

DE

Vernon Gholston

Ohio State

Jr.

6-3

266

With Chris Long off the board, the St. Louis Rams will look to add another D-Lineman who can get to the quarterback. LSU's Glenn Dorsey proved he was healthy at his Pro Day and has regained his status as the draft's top DT, but Ohio State's Vernon Gholston is a physical freak who will have an immediate impact in the NFL as a pass rushing terror.

Previous Mock Draft Selection: Same

3

OT

Jake Long

Michigan

Sr.

6-7

315

The Falcons have a hard decision to make at this selection. With Glenn Dorsey, Matt Ryan and Jake Long available, they will have to decide between offense and defense. Atlanta has a new head coach in place and identifying a franchise QB is necessary, but adding a potential All-Pro OT in Long allows the Falcons to target a QB in the second round.

Previous Mock Draft Selection: Same

4

DT

Glenn Dorsey

LSU

Sr.

6-1

297

The Raiders will entertain the idea of selecting Darren McFadden and will also take phone calls from teams looking to move up to select McFadden, but in the end the pick will be between Sedrick Ellis and Glenn Dorsey. Dorsey's recent surge is enough for the Raiders to select an LSU player in the first round two years in a row.

Previous Mock Draft Selection: Darren McFadden

5

QB

Matt Ryan

Boston College

Sr.

6-4

228

The Chiefs are in a tough spot. They have to decide between adding a cornerback like Leodis McKelvin or Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie, a defensive tackle in Sedrick Ellis, or reaching for an offensive lineman like Ryan Clady, Chris Williams or Branden Albert. But with value on the board in Matt Ryan, the Chiefs give Brodie Croyle some competition in camp and make him earn a starting job.

Previous Mock Draft Selection: Same

6

RB

Darren McFadden

Arkansas

Jr.

6-1

211

The Jets are in a situation where they can draft the best available player or look to add depth in the secondary by selecting a cornerback in the first round two years in a row. But with an impact player like Darren McFadden available, the Jets turn in their selection quickly.

Previous Mock Draft Selection: Sedrick Ellis

7


from 49ers

CB

Leodis McKelvin

Troy

Sr.

5-10

186

Losing Asante Samuel and Randall Gay this offseason makes cornerback the No. 1 priority for the Patriots. Troy's Leodis McKelvin plays a similar style to Samuel and also provides New England with a quality return man on special teams.

Previous Mock Draft Selection: Same

8

CB

Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie

Tennessee State

Sr.

6-1

180

The Ravens have to identify a franchise quarterback and add some stability behind center, but adding a playmaker in the secondary is exactly what the Ravens need. Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie has seen his stock skyrocket over the last month and will ultimately land in the top-ten with the Ravens.

Previous Mock Draft Selection: Same

9

DT

Sedrick Ellis

USC

Sr.

6-0

309

The Bengals desperately need help on defense, especially at linebacker and defensive tackle. USC's LB Keith Rivers had a great performance at his Pro Day and solidified himself as a top-ten pick, but the Bengals have to get a push up the middle and another Trojan, Sedrick Ellis, will provide it.

Previous Mock Draft Selection: Glenn Dorsey

10

LB

Keith Rivers

USC

Sr.

6-2

241

The Saints added help in the secondary with the addition of Randall Gay and added two veteran linebackers, Dan Morgan and Jonathan Vilma. There are a few options on the board for New Orleans, but like I said, RIvers is a top-ten pick and ends up with the Saints.

Previous Mock Draft Selection: Same

11

WR

Malcolm Kelly

Oklahoma

Jr.

6-4

224

The Bills have to find a big wideout to compliment Lee Evans. Evans constantly gets double-teamed, so having another option on the other side will benefit the offense. Oklahoma's Malcolm Kelly makes the most sense and gives Trent Edwards another option on offense.

Previous Mock Draft Selection: Same

12

OT

Ryan Clady

Boise State

Jr.

6-6

320

The Broncos have done a good job with Jay Cutler’s development, but giving him a quality tackle to grow with makes sense. Ryan Clady may move up in the draft as we make our way towards April, but I still believe he will be available for Denver.

Previous Mock Draft Selection: Same

13

DE

Derrick Harvey

Florida

Jr.

6-4

271

The Panthers will look to upgrade the offensive and defensive line in the first round. Carolina added depth on the D-Line in free agency, but the Panthers have to add a pure pass rusher to help Julius Peppers rebound from a difficult year. Florida's Derrick Harvey fits Carolina's need.

Previous Mock Draft Selection: Same

14

RB

Rashard Mendenhall

Illinois

Jr.

5-10

225

After losing Bernard Berrian and Muhsin Muhammad this offseason, the Bears turned to one of their former players, Marty Booker, and also added Brandon Lloyd to help the offense. The Bears have to address another area on offense, and that's their woeful rushing attack. With concerns surrounding Cedric Benson, drafting local product Rashard Mendenhall will give Chicago a boost.

Previous Mock Draft Selection: Same

15

OT

Chris Williams

Vanderbilt

Sr.

6-6

317

The Lions have done a good job of revamping their secondary in free agency and will concentrate on another area in the draft. Adding a quality OT will go a long way in helping the offense be more efficient, and Vanderbilt’s Chris Williams is exactly what they need.

Previous Mock Draft Selection: Same

16

CB

Aqib Talib

Kansas

Jr.

6-1

205

Arizona will consider drafting a running back at this selection, but with Mendenhall off the board they will focus on upgrading their secondary. The Cardinals are happy to see the best playmaking CB in the draft, Aqib Talib, still on the board.

Previous Mock Draft Selection: Same

17


DE

Phillip Merling

Clemson

Jr.

6-4

270

The Vikings were able to sign Bernard Berrian this offseason to help the progression of Tarvaris Jackson, so adding a WR with this selection isn't necessary. But the most glaring need resides at defensive end. Despite having sports hernia surgery, Clemson's Phillip Merling is one of the best all around DEs in the draft and is a perfect fit for the Vikings.

Previous Mock Draft Selection: Same

18

OG

Branden Albert

Virginia

Jr.

6-6

309

The Texans will consider Oregon RB Jonathan Stewart with this pick, but after his toe surgery, Houston will wait to add a RB later in the draft and bolster their offensive line. Virginia's Branden Albert is rapidly rising up the charts and may ultimately end up being a top-12 pick.

Previous Mock Draft Selection: Jeff Otah

19

OT

Jeff Otah

Pittsburgh

Sr.

6-6

339

The Eagles are a team that could draft the best available player, as they don't have many glaring needs. They could use a big play wide receiver and Devin Thomas and DeSean Jackson fit that need. But the Eagles have two aging OTs, Jon Runyan and Tra Thomas, and drafting a young player like Jeff Otah is a move the Eagles will most likely make.

Previous Mock Draft Selection: DeSean Jackson

20

WR

DeSean Jackson

California

Jr.

5-9

169

The Buccaneers have to address the receiver position with this pick, and it's possible that they’ll look to add a cornerback. The pick will be between DeSean Jackson and Devin Thomas. Thomas is rising quickly, but Jackson's dynamic ability to stretch the field and on special teams wins out.

Previous Mock Draft Selection: Devin Thomas

21

WR

Devin Thomas

Michigan State

Jr.

6-2

215

The Redskins could use a safety, especially with the loss of Sean Taylor. But they decide to pass on Kenny Phillips to address their need for a receiver. Michigan State's Devin Thomas is a big target who will compliment Santana Moss perfectly.

Previous Mock Draft Selection: Limas Sweed

22

from Browns

CB

Mike Jenkins

South Florida

Sr.

5-11

200

The Cowboys lost two cornerbacks in free agency, Jacques Reeves and Nathan Jones, so adding depth in the secondary is a must. South Florida's Mike Jenkins provides Dallas with a quality cover corner that they can build their secondary around.

Previous Mock Draft Selection: Same

23

OT

Gosder Cherilus

Boston College

Sr.

6-7

314

Losing Alan Faneca is a tough pill to swallow, but the Steelers will have to move on and find depth on the O-Line. The top tackles are off the board along with the top guard, Branden Albert, so the Steelers select a durable, reliable tackle in BC's Gosder Cherilus.

Previous Mock Draft Selection: Branden Albert

24

WR

Limas Sweed

Texas

Sr.

6-4

215

The Titans lost Antwan Odom and Travis LaBoy in free agency and adding depth at DE is a must. With the top pass rushing DEs off the board, the Titans decide to give Vince Young a target he's familiar with, former Texas WR Limas Sweed.

Previous Mock Draft Selection: Quentin Groves

25

DT

Trevor Laws

Notre Dame

Sr.

6-1

304

The Seahawks haven't drafted a tight end since 2002, and that was used on Jerramy Stevens in the first round. Stevens was a disappointment, and Seattle may select Dustin Keller, but will wait to draft a TE. Seattle's biggest need is on the D-Line, where they have to secure a young DT. The pick will be between UNC's Kentwan Balmer and Notre Dame's Trevor Laws. Laws is moving up draft boards quickly and ends up with the Seahawks.

Previous Mock Draft Selection: Dustin Keller

26

DE

Calais Campbell

Miami

Jr.

6-8

290

The loss of Bobby McCray and Marcus Stroud are huge losses on defense and will force the Jaguars to upgrade in the draft. There are a couple of possibilities for Jacksonville at this spot — Miami's Calais Campbell and UNC's Kentwan Balmer. Campbell's potential wins out over Balmer.

Previous Mock Draft Selection: Same

27

RB

Jonathan Stewart

Oregon

Jr.

5-10

235

The Chargers are in a situation to draft the best available player, and they can go in many directions. But the one direction they should go in is adding a running back. LaDainian Tomlinson is still the best in the business, but how many more years will he play at a top level? Michael Turner signed with Atlanta, and the Chargers can't rely on Darren Sproles to be their backup running back. Oregon's Jonathan Stewart falls to the Chargers due to his recent toe surgery.

Previous Mock Draft Selection: Same

28

RB

Felix Jones

Arkansas

Jr.

5-10

207

The Cowboys addressed their need for depth in the secondary with their first pick, and will look to add a young playmaker on offense with this selection. Dallas has a need for another running back to pair with Marion Barber and a wide receiver to add along side of Terrell Owens. With the top receivers off the board, Dallas selects Arkansas' Felix Jones.

Previous Mock Draft Selection: Brian Brohm (in projected trade with Atlanta)

29

from Colts

LB

Dan Connor

Penn State

Sr.

6-3

231

The Niners added a few veteran wide receivers this offseason, so drafting a first round WR isn't necessary. The Niners struck gold with Patrick Willis last season and will continue to upgrade their linebacker core with steady Penn State LB Dan Connor.

Previous Mock Draft Selection: Gosder Cherilus

30

TE

Dustin Keller

Purdue

Sr.

6-2

242

The Packers are another team that can draft the best player available. They have a solid nucleus all around, but adding help in the secondary makes sense. Brandon Flowers and Antoine Cason are two good options, but adding a young TE is a bigger need. Purdue's Dustin Keller is the best TE in the draft and fills the void left by Bubba Franks.

Previous Mock Draft Selection: Antoine Cason

PATRIOTS SELECTION FORFEITED - (16 - 0)

 

31

FS

Kenny Phillips

Miami

Jr.

6-2

212

The Giants desperately need to add depth at linebacker and in the secondary. Adding a linebacker like Tennessee's Jerod Mayo is possible, but with Miami's Kenny Phillips still available, he replaces the recently departed Gibril Wilson.

Previous Mock Draft Selection: Same


A member of the Pro Football Writers of America and the Football Writers Association of America, Chris Steuber has provided his analysis of the NFL and NFL Draft prospects on the web and on the radio since 1999.

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